Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.135227 0.158464 0.184051 0.214256 0.248873 0.287240 0.332917
2026-01-04 0.099800 0.131897 0.171118 0.222261 0.286844 0.365315 0.467461
2026-01-11 0.079071 0.114491 0.161286 0.226950 0.315901 0.431275 0.591143
2026-01-18 0.064605 0.101028 0.152392 0.228955 0.338752 0.488824 0.707324
2026-01-25 0.053680 0.089909 0.144033 0.229084 0.357212 0.540352 0.818411
2026-02-01 0.044692 0.079783 0.135071 0.226239 0.369823 0.583432 0.920030
2026-02-08 0.037472 0.071039 0.126627 0.222475 0.379720 0.622330 1.017682
2026-02-15 0.030857 0.062054 0.116282 0.213906 0.380441 0.646417 1.093782
2026-02-22 0.028618 0.060454 0.118065 0.225521 0.414759 0.725573 1.261844
2026-03-01 0.024221 0.053997 0.110288 0.219376 0.418151 0.754496 1.350671
2026-03-08 0.020347 0.047852 0.102146 0.211375 0.417112 0.775387 1.427076
2026-03-15 0.017450 0.043193 0.096134 0.206470 0.420836 0.804246 1.518545
2026-03-22 0.015753 0.040902 0.094628 0.210301 0.441509 0.865222 1.671904
2026-03-29 0.014559 0.039554 0.094903 0.217759 0.469899 0.942494 1.860400
2026-04-05 0.013264 0.037721 0.093864 0.222321 0.492944 1.011561 2.038791
2026-04-12 0.011938 0.035552 0.091750 0.224284 0.510825 1.072077 2.205345
2026-04-19 0.010660 0.033251 0.088981 0.224411 0.524780 1.125858 2.362544
2026-04-26 0.009374 0.030662 0.085143 0.221617 0.532192 1.167186 2.498386
2026-05-03 0.008210 0.028166 0.081146 0.217924 0.537186 1.203854 2.627320
2026-05-10 0.006979 0.025197 0.075486 0.209514 0.530802 1.216638 2.709236
2026-05-17 0.006756 0.025276 0.077804 0.220913 0.570310 1.327477 2.996901
2026-05-24 0.005853 0.022988 0.073403 0.214882 0.568875 1.351585 3.107448
2026-05-31 0.005005 0.020674 0.068548 0.207029 0.562275 1.363913 3.193907